← Arcanum Sanctorum HVN store championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Arcanum Sanctorum HVN store championship
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-1-1
overall winrate
81.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.0%
avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
57.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1425
· median 1425
· range 1333–1517
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1132
Q1 1196
Q3 1409
1597
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.1% | +10.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
